San Diego Chargers vs St. Louis Rams 10/17/2010

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The San Diego Chargers are a heavy favorite winning 83% of simulations over the St. Louis Rams. Philip Rivers is averaging 249 passing yards and 1.84 TDs per simulation and Mike Tolbert is projected for 54 rushing yards and a 37% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 17% of simulations where St. Louis Rams wins, Sam Bradford averages 1.2 TD passes vs 0.54 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.81 TDs to 1.1 interceptions. Steven Jackson averages 110 rushing yards and 0.75 rushing TDs when St. Louis Rams wins and 64 yards and 0.27 TDs in losses. The San Diego Chargers have a 70% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is STL +9 --- Over/Under line is 45

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